1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07

Form snapshot

Mainz have had a solid start to the season, with a win and a draw in their opening two matches. They are unbeaten at home in the league, showing resilience. Paderborn, on the other hand, have struggled, losing both matches so far, and have conceded five goals. Their away form is a concern, having lost their last two away league games.

Head-to-head

Historically, Mainz have dominated this fixture. In their last five meetings, Mainz have won three and drawn two, with Paderborn failing to win. The most recent encounter was in the 2019-20 Bundesliga season, where Mainz won 2-1 at home. Paderborn have never won in Mainz in the Bundesliga.

Verdict

Given Mainz’s solid home form and Paderborn’s poor start, Mainz are clear favorites. Paderborn’s defense has been leaky, and they face a Mainz side that is organized and confident. While early-season matches can be unpredictable, the gulf in class and current form suggests a home win is likely. Mainz should control the game and create chances against a vulnerable Paderborn defense.